The geeks @ 538 remain pretty optimistic about Franken coming up roses:
The long story short is as follows: if Al Franken in fact wins anywhere near 52.5% of the undercounted ballots, it is quite likely that he will prevail, even given what I would consider to be fairly pessimistic assumptions about the number of correctable errors. You could halve my estimate of the number of recounted ballots, for instance (to 5,623) and Franken still projects to prevail around 69% of the time. If, on the other hand, Franken only wins say 51% of the undercount, then the precise number of correctable errors is more important.
More 538 number crunching here.
How sweet would it be if Coleman falls behind Franken before the recount starts and we get to see an endless video loop of Norm lecturing Franken on the morning of November 5th, “If I was behind I would step back.”
Wouldja really, Norm?